South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2eddf24ba6d1ac16097c2793fab458a515b99ec1a3e404ce46fe4d543a12f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,693$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.52 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,743$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.9 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 55c | 1,409$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.35 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,062$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.56 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 68c | 489.74$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 449.76$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.82 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 45c | 319.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 67c | 304.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked No | 64c | 267.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 219.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 216$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 58c | 198.36$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 67c | 195.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 50c | 179.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 63c | 130.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 75c | 123.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 43c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 71c | 105.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 98.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 91.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 47c | 85.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 83.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 69.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 30c | 62.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 42c | 59.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…05c8backed Yes | 45c | 57.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked No | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 34c | 54.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 51.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 23c | 50.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 59c | 46.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 61c | 40.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed No | 43c | 39.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 66c | 28.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 66c | 27.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed No | 69c | 22.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…f873backed No | 76c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 65c | 15.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.