South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4182d412c1eb5ed8b8e5ac36b0bc524655aad5c20473376f7596e146953cbb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Over | 29c | 1,186$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.12 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 63c | 628.64$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.63 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 601.1$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.45 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 30c | 461.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.33 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 70c | 431.9$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 353.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.81 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 349.63$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 175.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 38c | 164.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 79c | 128.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 41c | 118.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 61c | 92.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 39c | 64.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 44.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 45c | 25.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…ec26backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.