South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a11b298b787ff37e7be800c393c7959eb0508f7de1c9efc70a5e3c21765f0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 13,343$7,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.32 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 5,468$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.88 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 76c | 3,900$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.97 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 3,050$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.24 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 2,424$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.02 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 2,332$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.95 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 47c | 2,305$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.96 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 2,143$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.16 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 54c | 1,870$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 60c | 1,342$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.58 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 3c | 1,328$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 4c | 892.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 43c | 860$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 40c | 797.23$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.12 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 63c | 725.12$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 599.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 565.29$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.89 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 5c | 480.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 45c | 478.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 390.67$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 337.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 35c | 289.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 45c | 279.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 40c | 279.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 48c | 262.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 58c | 243.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 63c | 224.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 56c | 203.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 40c | 200.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 72c | 126.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 60c | 125.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 48c | 111.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 46c | 108.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 39c | 107.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 68c | 94.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…ca02backed Under | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 61c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 73.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 71.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 24c | 59.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 76c | 59.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 47c | 57.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 39c | 56.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 56.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…baaabacked Over | 28c | 49.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 25c | 47.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 46c | 43.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Over | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac6d…94f1backed Under | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…901bbacked Over | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b11dbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 18.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Over | 58c | 17.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
- Spread: Club Santos Laguna (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.