WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d90b70e01bb2ebf55d379b6bff8d2e224e718f8042a22e5ca92ae1b314bd7b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 6,095$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,098.44 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Dallas Wings | 67c | 5,266$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.74 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Indiana Fever | 40c | 5,005$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.71 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 3,618$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Indiana Fever | 58c | 3,326$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 2,196$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.04 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Dallas Wings | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 41c | 1,882$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.14 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Dallas Wings | 43c | 1,819$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.32 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 1,640$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.82 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 1,349$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.05 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 946.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.75 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dallas Wings | 64c | 849.25$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.02 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 802.84$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.84 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 757.14$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 585.04$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 486.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.59 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 275.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 58c | 266$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 261$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 256$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dallas Wings | 68c | 240.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Fever | 40c | 238.61$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dallas Wings | 64c | 233.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Indiana Fever | 33c | 201.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 194.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Indiana Fever | 36c | 167.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 165.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 133.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Dallas Wings | 43c | 118$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Indiana Fever | 60c | 110.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Indiana Fever | 40c | 100.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dallas Wings | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Dallas Wings | 65c | 98.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Indiana Fever | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Indiana Fever | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indiana Fever | 36c | 77.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 69.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 64.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Indiana Fever | 65c | 59.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 51.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 47.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Indiana Fever | 58c | 47.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Indiana Fever | 39c | 43.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Dallas Wings | 43c | 40.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 40.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Dallas Wings | 64c | 36.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 35.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Indiana Fever | 39c | 34.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana Fever | 58c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 42c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Dallas Wings | 62c | 25.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Dallas Wings | 69c | 19.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Indiana Fever | 65c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Dallas Wings | 61c | 17.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Indiana Fever | 61c | 16.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)this page
- Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 184.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 185.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 186.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.