WNBA · resolved market

Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 186.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eab2c882b8ce7cabe414b0b05bb623fb5b43d5acb81752b2f94d1d0d5fafdbe

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,622 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd202…8973backed Over	47c	14,499$6,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,814.53	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	53c	14,186$7,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,671.57	386	45.9%177 W · 209 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	51c	6,287$3,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,103.36	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Over	51c	6,195$3,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,158.35	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Under	52c	2,308$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,107.69	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	52c	1,926$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.55	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under	51c	1,747$886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.49	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	48c	1,581$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.06	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	50c	1,204$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.15	286	47.9%137 W · 149 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	50c	1,106$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.65	269	53.2%143 W · 126 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	27c	1,096$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.05	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over	50c	1,000$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over	49c	930.76$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.07	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	49c	914.29$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.29	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8513…7d41backed Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over	47c	531$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.57	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	489.31$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.42	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Over	50c	468.42$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.21	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under	51c	403.92$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.92	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over	10c	352$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	85	49.4%42 W · 43 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under	52c	307.37$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.54	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Under	52c	307.37$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.54	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under	63c	300$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	48c	253.09$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.9	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3cb…7e67backed Under	50c	244$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+56%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	92	51.1%47 W · 45 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0daa…ae42backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+32%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-4.0wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under	52c	176.54$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.74	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Over	9c	166$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under	52c	160$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.8	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	49c	156.01$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.26	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc638…e298backed Under	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over	54c	120$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.7wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x88c7…cd28backed Over	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	58cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over	48c	116.64$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.41	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	53c	109.75$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.17	270	49.6%134 W · 136 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under	54c	108.28$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.84	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	47c	108$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.94	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Over	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	173	43.9%76 W · 97 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	77	32.5%25 W · 52 L	-9.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	54c	92.69$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.69	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf969…4fdbbacked Under	50c	79.25$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.25	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	50c	77.72$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.6	237	46.4%110 W · 127 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0378…1755backed Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.92	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed7…aae7backed Over	53c	75.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	50c	67.5$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.75	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a4…c39bbacked Under	50c	66$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68cb…6872backed Under	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf343…ac3dbacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Under	53c	56.59$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bba…a2eabacked Over	49c	48.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	47c	46.81$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.81	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	57c	44.07$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066a…96a0backed Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7340…f73fbacked Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x417d…f3c5backed Over	54c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ae…5310backed Over	52c	29.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	98	51%50 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	48c	29.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	323	46.7%151 W · 172 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Over	48c	28.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Under	49c	21.05$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.74	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Under	54c	19.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.17	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 186.5this page
Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 184.5Over won
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 185.5Under won
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5Under won
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 186.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event