WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 185.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44f22d840d7088144c4960579d15bc8cf776ba7e36d9fcf2246c60fc03f1f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 50c | 10,493$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.56 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 10,395$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,197.95 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 51c | 2,858$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.38 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 51c | 2,816$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.26 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 2,652$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.74 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,022$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 1,899$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.89 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 78c | 1,359$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 1,324$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Over | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 993$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.43 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 50c | 956$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 603.74$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.87 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 503.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.95 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 75c | 154.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 137.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 40c | 133$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 15c | 124$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 102.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 99.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 16c | 98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 29c | 94.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 90.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 81.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Under | 50c | 77.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 185.5this page
- Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 184.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 186.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.