WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847054b3a8e4bd0556bfd7c5045068cb4016a3d8ffd450dd53cfa1634aae1800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 15,438$7,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,873.38 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 15,126$7,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,863.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 10,690$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.3 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.99 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.97 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 5,837$2,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.24 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 4,210$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.84 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 32c | 3,848$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.19 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Dallas Wings | 62c | 3,113$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.06 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 2,862$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,004$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.42 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 1,770$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.83 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 1,303$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.82 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 30c | 954.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.18 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 948.19$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.86 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 805.12$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…acbbbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 583.69$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.52 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Indiana Fever | 40c | 294.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 276$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 257.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 239.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 196.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…587ebacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 176.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 170.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 160.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 155.78$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 115.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings | 69c | 108.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 105.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Indiana Fever | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 92.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 90.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 81.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 71.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 65.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 45.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Indiana Fever | 35c | 43.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Indiana Fever | 35c | 41.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Dallas Wings | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 31.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 28.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 24.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 23.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)this page
- Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 184.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 185.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 186.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.