WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3099171a6a16db303b1f27db9c5a813df7f31fcf28e8acd6395b58e90beb128f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 10,577$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 7,845$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.5 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.96 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 6,100$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 5,832$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.01 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 4,457$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.94 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 3,165$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.75 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 2,581$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.62 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 2,483$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.39 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Dallas Wings | 71c | 2,055$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.78 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,806$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.87 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 1,762$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.77 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 1,632$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.68 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Indiana Fever | 33c | 1,193$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.31 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 1,053$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,047$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.62 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,014$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 864.56$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.28 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 690.2$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 621.26$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Dallas Wings | 58c | 574.14$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 471$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.37 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings | 60c | 466.45$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 358.41$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 336.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 211.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 187.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…c4afbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Indiana Fever | 34c | 175.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 174.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 171.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Indiana Fever | 31c | 136.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 92.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…34fabacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 79.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 67.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 62.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 56.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 50.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 50.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 49.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 40.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 38.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 35.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…a468backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 31.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 29.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…c69abacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)this page
- Caitlin Clark: Assists O/U 9.5Yes won
- Caitlin Clark: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 184.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 185.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 186.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.