Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a6c91466747334f230690ff33e3b6031cbb71b0145a8cc13919b3cd14adc28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,221$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 9,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,258$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 0c | 5,001$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 1c | 3,372$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,692$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…6468backed Yes | 1c | 1,856$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…1e18backed Yes | 12c | 1,718$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 3c | 1,553$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.93 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 2c | 1,372$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 2c | 1,262$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.75 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Yes | 36c | 1,254$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.92 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 25c | 1,207$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed No | 12c | 854.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.2 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 45c | 810.36$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.07 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 35c | 754.17$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.37 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 32c | 722.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 74c | 676.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.39 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 17c | 663.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.12 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 30c | 620.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.14 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 8c | 592.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.15 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…5668backed Yes | 50c | 573.5$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.92 | 96 | 17.7%17 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 573$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 21c | 569$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 46c | 497.93$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.39 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 451.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 431.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.07 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 75c | 418$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 17c | 403.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 15c | 354.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 26c | 327.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked No | 4c | 316.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.41 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 20c | 300$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.51 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 292.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 29c | 287.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 70c | 281.47$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 27c | 276.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 12c | 273.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 8c | 272.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 71c | 250$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0f4dbacked Yes | 29c | 235.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 5c | 228.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.09 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 221.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 220.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 16c | 208.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.25 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked No | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 60c | 198.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 196$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 9c | 194.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Yes | 24c | 187$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 20c | 186.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 169.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 72c | 169.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.37 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…649cbacked Yes | 31c | 158.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 157.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 149$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…6c95backed No | 7c | 148.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,384.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…e62bbacked No | 18c | 146.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 67c | 144.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 46c | 144.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…33aebacked No | 15c | 140.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…3c18backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 39c | 126.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3a…258ebacked No | 29c | 112.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 78c | 110.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 52c | 107.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 13c | 100.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 62c | 99.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Yes | 35c | 96.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 31c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 89.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…a31bbacked No | 75c | 89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 44c | 85.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 23c | 85.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 17c | 84.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 24c | 84.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…dc8cbacked Yes | 62c | 81.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 27c | 79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 58c | 74.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 19c | 72.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…8e07backed No | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 61.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 22c | 50.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 49.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked Yes | 34c | 48.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 47.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.