Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11aa54355506456e4bfeb381d9517b012fe50f6fad051819351c49d08dd17162
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,744$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.88 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,031$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,947.5 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 1c | 1,302$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.83 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 19c | 1,150$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.98 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 7c | 945.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.58 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed No | 80c | 869.2$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.17 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 57c | 747.58$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.19 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 694.52$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Yes | 14c | 558.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 369.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.4 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 69c | 345$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 46c | 306.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 21c | 284$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 75c | 233$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 22c | 230.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 12c | 217.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Yes | 9c | 210.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…649cbacked Yes | 25c | 196.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 12c | 193.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 10c | 192.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.01 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 39c | 181.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 169.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 163.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 7c | 158.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 52c | 156.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 32c | 145.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 25c | 143$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.25 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 9c | 139.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 29c | 130.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 27c | 125.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 117.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.58 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 26c | 111.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…0932backed Yes | 20c | 110.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 106.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 74c | 94.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 13c | 91.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 88.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 23c | 87.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 54c | 85.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 77c | 77.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 26c | 71.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…0c9fbacked Yes | 17c | 69.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 36c | 67.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 65.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 27c | 64.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…8e32backed Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…73abbacked Yes | 19c | 61.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +419.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…50c3backed No | 71c | 59.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 54c | 58.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 40c | 56.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3a…08d7backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fe38backed No | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…e62bbacked No | 79c | 49.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…680abacked Yes | 31c | 48.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 27c | 47.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 73c | 44.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 43.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 24c | 43.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 78c | 41.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 33c | 35.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 61c | 29.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…14babacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 75.2%115 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 71c | 25.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 72c | 22.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 68c | 18.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 78c | 16.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.