WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3edbe7c132f79543c2a3b719faf01df00bdc512b359e3c4e9242fb71efee3d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 16,272$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,485.98 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 15,912$8,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,268.98 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 7,353$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.36 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Storm | 37c | 4,697$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.01 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 3,349$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.21 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.98 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.99 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 2,250$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.7 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,841$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.62 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 1,824$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 1,616$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.26 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Storm | 7c | 1,491$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Storm | 1c | 1,420$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 1,170$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.63 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Seattle Storm | 22c | 1,010$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed Seattle Storm | 3c | 963.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 785$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.05 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 753.66$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.86 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 706.31$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Seattle Storm | 37c | 670$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 661.93$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.82 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 633.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.56 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 581.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Storm | 34c | 384.05$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 310.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.61 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Seattle Storm | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 249.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 243$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…11b8backed Seattle Storm | 22c | 201.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Seattle Storm | 41c | 178$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 153.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 141$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 136.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 123.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 108.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 105.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 104.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 103.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 100.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Indiana Fever | 67c | 97.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 91.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Indiana Fever | 68c | 91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 80.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 80.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 79.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 78.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 78.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Indiana Fever | 65c | 75.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever | 69c | 57.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 61c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 53.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…f197backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 50.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…7a82backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 46.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 45.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever | 63c | 37.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Indiana Fever | 37c | 37.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 35.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 45c | 35.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Indiana Fever | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 26.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Storm | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle StormIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 186.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.