WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 186.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff67fbcab3b1c6546fe357f063e2789e87c9c64da3d99a5becdeabb829409579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 50c | 24,490$12,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,245.04 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 51c | 8,080$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 49c | 6,883$3,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.87 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 4,808$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 3,360$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.06 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 3,293$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.12 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,295$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.09 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 2,074$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.82 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Under | 50c | 1,704$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.87 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f3c5backed Over | 50c | 1,468$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 38c | 1,010$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.8 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Under | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 613.45$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.71 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Under | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 39c | 419.13$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.24 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 329$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 38c | 324$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 285.86$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 39c | 243.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Under | 48c | 208.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Under | 45c | 87.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 51c | 83.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 64c | 82.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 66c | 70.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 63c | 69.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 54c | 59.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked Over | 51c | 40.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Over | 57c | 30.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Over | 63c | 22.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 63c | 22.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 186.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle StormIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.