WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2900218a0979979d69309d9ba6914bb7ef63fa1b34f803edf708aa05c6506b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 81,871$41,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,681.03 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 81,525$40,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,366.44 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 30,377$15,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,884.73 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 10,309$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,954.68 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 5,119$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.3 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 4,722$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 3,514$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.37 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 3,439$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.58 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,797$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.94 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 2,178$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.44 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 2,080$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.4 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,010$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,765$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.77 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 58c | 1,396$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.76 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.02 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Seattle Storm | 43c | 1,207$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.01 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,205$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.4 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 962.67$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.59 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 892.65$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.47 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 854.88$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 824.52$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 675.96$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.46 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 665.04$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 617.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 594.19$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 512$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 487.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 273.83$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 264.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 208.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 140.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 124.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 104.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 100.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 96.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 94.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Storm | 29c | 87.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 85.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 75.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 63.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 53.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Indiana Fever | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Seattle Storm | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…95f9backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 35.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Indiana Fever | 43c | 34.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 31.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…078dbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 28.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 21.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle StormIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 186.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.