WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb11b44755c3d0998d60e25179ac804a9034d029cde849caa662dee69af3140
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 59c | 3,125$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.94 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 27c | 1,696$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.7 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 16c | 644.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 17c | 637.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 2c | 472.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 41c | 304.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 41c | 276$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 268.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 52c | 261.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 42c | 220.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 47c | 209.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…1adcbacked Over | 53c | 189.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…c482backed Over | 54c | 92.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 46c | 92.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 66c | 73.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 73c | 65.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Over | 55c | 51.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 60c | 48.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 56c | 40.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 56c | 37.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 44c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 40c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle StormIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 184.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 186.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.