WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 184.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dea18bfaa189002f6a78af4af3206fa0e13b0d5fddaa2261077851f28812286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 2,940$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.71 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 2,655$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.66 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Over | 57c | 2,469$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 1,666$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.02 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 44c | 1,342$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.58 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 53c | 1,185$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.15 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 53c | 801.7$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 47c | 499.72$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 450$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 361.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 355.44$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 326.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 44c | 276$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 46c | 219.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 212.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 52c | 192.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 191.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 144.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 91.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 86.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 56c | 85.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 79.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Under | 47c | 58.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Over | 57c | 44.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 42c | 34.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 32.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 55c | 23.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 184.5this page
- Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle StormIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 181.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 183.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 185.5Over won
- Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 186.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.