Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cfa75cdfb01f70f4e530b20ecac02256e443d540dc3af0201dccb2141da783d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,903$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 3,824$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.91 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 12c | 1,636$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.38 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 38c | 1,565$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.57 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 59c | 1,558$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.53 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 22c | 1,304$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.7 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 45c | 1,150$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 817.08$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Under | 42c | 628.6$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 40c | 555.08$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.58 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 13c | 429.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.32 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b60ebacked Over | 58c | 337.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 52c | 266.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 66c | 249.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 53c | 228.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15a…5bd2backed Over | 34c | 196.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…36f4backed Over | 26c | 186.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 72c | 152.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 14c | 151.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed Under | 48c | 104.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 52c | 101.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 48c | 81.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 55c | 79.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 48c | 59.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 67c | 59.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 34c | 50.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 58c | 50.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…6674backed Over | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Under | 38c | 40.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -6.6wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 34c | 38.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…b92dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 68c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…f5d7backed Over | 73c | 15.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.