Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x011c63a5d2c063c7673b36b8bc2409532fd58f73363bacde3aa048c6a53f4aa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 6,822$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…6763backed Over | 48c | 4,993$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 1,277$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.08 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Over | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 53c | 999.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 961$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 749.16$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.6 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Over | 48c | 717.23$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 32c | 522$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 405.12$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.3 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 30c | 333.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 331.68$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 322.22$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 255.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 206.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 50c | 201.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 54c | 185$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 147.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 45c | 146.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 50c | 111.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 107.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 51c | 62.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 60.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…4e5fbacked Over | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Under | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 37.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 58c | 33.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…e39bbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 47c | 31.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked Under | 51c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Over | 47c | 26.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…b608backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 51c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.