TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Orgryte ISof Djurgardens IF, Orgryte IS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,901 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Orgryte IS71c2,088$1,482 inWon+$605.4114853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed Djurgardens IF29c1,723$500 inLost-$5001921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Djurgardens IF18c376.13$66 inLost-$66.082,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7b…aaffbacked Djurgardens IF29c310.34$90 inLost-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Djurgardens IF29c166$48 inLost-$48.142,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Orgryte IS72c136.7$98 inWon+$38.611,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Orgryte IS71c117.32$84 inWon+$33.582,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf786…25fbbacked Orgryte IS73c115$84 inWon+$30.91741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Orgryte IS71c109.83$78 inWon+$31.8537049.5%183 W · 187 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Djurgardens IF27c79.3$21 inLost-$21.4166047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9984…91e3backed Djurgardens IF22c63.78$14 inLost-$13.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Orgryte IS72c41.67$30 inWon+$11.679555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Orgryte IS77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.966262.9%39 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Orgryte IS70c38.58$27 inWon+$11.5753655.2%296 W · 240 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Orgryte IS78c38.46$30 inWon+$8.463429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Djurgardens IF28c38.35$11 inLost-$10.745152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Orgryte IS72c35.79$26 inWon+$10.0227360.8%166 W · 107 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Orgryte IS79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.3213252.3%69 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.