Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70fdb732e9cbeeba74aea8b4e8894f18caf4d62bc9a2f87d1bff64a5b6a43926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 6c | 12,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 56c | 4,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 7c | 3,623$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 2,723$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 2,268$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.64 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 1,770$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.03 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 34c | 1,489$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 29c | 1,066$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.06 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 30c | 1,009$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.33 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 55c | 909.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 6c | 833$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 805.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.89 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 68c | 605$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.4 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 28c | 446.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Over | 7c | 428.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed Over | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 46c | 263.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Over | 6c | 238$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…de9dbacked Over | 7c | 204.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 28c | 199.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Under | 52c | 193.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 6c | 187.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 70c | 186.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 183.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 70c | 139.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 11c | 110.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…710fbacked Under | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 33c | 79.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…614abacked Over | 68c | 70.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 66c | 57.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 57.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…4390backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 30c | 47.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 70c | 42.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf40…e942backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 48c | 36.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…e747backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Under | 48c | 32.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 72c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 61c | 21.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -6.6wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e25…1cb3backed Over | 71c | 15.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.