Other European Leagues · resolved market
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11f3ddf2c1cd8104f4aa5f22df300343d717075ddcac8d29e82c0ad6552ff56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,361$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.51 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 6c | 1,627$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.47 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 55c | 1,310$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 2c | 943.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.83 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 68c | 619.69$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.66 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 6c | 385.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 79c | 380.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 10c | 280.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 21c | 221.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…753dbacked Over | 78c | 199.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 65c | 179.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 67c | 163.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 157.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 68c | 149.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 14c | 147.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 55c | 119.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 46c | 110.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…b92dbacked Over | 49c | 81.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d15…bbb0backed Over | 22c | 59.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 59.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 36c | 55.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 44c | 55.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Under | 54c | 55.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 59c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 34c | 49.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…e4d5backed Under | 46c | 46.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 54c | 41.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…9da5backed Over | 64c | 38.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -6.6wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 35c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 44c | 24.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 0.5this page
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 0.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 1.5Under won
- Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.