TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,664 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No76c12,050$9,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.146464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes25c10,000$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.7812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No75c7,967$5,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No75c7,917$5,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.5213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c4,680$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.174,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f9…ef16backed Yes23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Yes25c3,450$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.626221%13 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-57.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c2,236$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.342,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe69d…a199backed No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Yes24c1,966$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes24c1,406$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.9758530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002931%9 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes24c909$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.161,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes24c866.75$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5824539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No77c799.97$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.996543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes25c700$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.560821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes15c633$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes24c618.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No77c552.17$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12728731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes24c529$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9611348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed No76c528.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.332365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes16c499.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.410718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No77c499.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11520638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No76c499.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9912875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Yes24c485.75$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.58296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-82.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No76c462.99$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1239951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No76c432.72$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8537959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes25c405.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2847049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511b…f6dabacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No76c388.78$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.263,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes23c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes24c287.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.961,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Yes23c273.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa9…58eebacked Yes23c269.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes26c263.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4117042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Yes27c257.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.661533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes25c256$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6418742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes24c253.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Yes26c253.42$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8923443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes29c231.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6719553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf939…e5cbbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d42…22a5backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No77c202.6$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc7…a157backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5097742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes28c180.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes23c178.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4123544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes24c171$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.046848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36dd…bfccbacked Yes25c170.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7113353.4%71 W · 62 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e9…e618backed No73c170.5$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.271010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-86.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011417.5%20 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes26c158.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2210051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes25c156.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.184854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.510146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x744f…f173backed Yes23c149.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.495343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55be…bcc0backed Yes14c142$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.088231.7%26 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Yes23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210630.2%32 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes25c137.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No75c130.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.137971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebda…5208backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes23c130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.47139.4%28 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Yes23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014842.6%63 W · 85 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac6…5bf9backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11b3…48b6backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes18c123.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.922,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012033.3%40 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No77c114.21$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2725352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Yes26c112.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1411746.2%54 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529138.5%112 W · 179 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…2c7abacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes24c104$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9624233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d4…4064backed Yes25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611338.1%43 W · 70 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0081…eb50backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Yes26c96.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.839348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes23c91.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145424.7%112 W · 342 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes23c91.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2134537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e4…0d66backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209144%40 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.