Fifa International · resolved market
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3984929a5c5bd5cbb99ab545aee11d03fd4c8482eeff9cf200046354a33d4aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 76c | 12,050$9,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.1 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.78 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 75c | 7,967$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.7 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 75c | 7,917$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.52 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 4,680$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…ef16backed Yes | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…409fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,450$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.62 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 2,236$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.34 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…a199backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Yes | 24c | 1,966$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 24c | 1,406$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.97 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 24c | 909$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 24c | 866.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 77c | 799.97$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 25c | 700$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 15c | 633$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 24c | 618.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 77c | 552.17$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 24c | 529$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…8b73backed No | 76c | 528.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Yes | 16c | 499.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 77c | 499.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 76c | 499.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Yes | 24c | 485.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 76c | 462.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 76c | 432.72$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 25c | 405.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…f6dabacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 388.78$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 24c | 287.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…f3b1backed Yes | 23c | 273.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked Yes | 23c | 269.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 263.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed Yes | 27c | 257.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 25c | 256$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 24c | 253.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Yes | 26c | 253.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 234 | 43.6%102 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 29c | 231.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…e5cbbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d42…22a5backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed No | 77c | 202.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc7…a157backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes | 28c | 180.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 23c | 178.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes | 24c | 171$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Yes | 25c | 170.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e9…e618backed No | 73c | 170.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes | 26c | 158.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Yes | 25c | 156.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…f173backed Yes | 23c | 149.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…bcc0backed Yes | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 137.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 75c | 130.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…5208backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 23c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…5bf9backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 123.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 77c | 114.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Yes | 26c | 112.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…2c7abacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…4064backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 113 | 38.1%43 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…eb50backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…d0ecbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Yes | 26c | 96.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 23c | 91.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…0d66backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsthis page
- Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsYes won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 5+ shotsNo won
- Mo Touré: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mo Touré: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mo Touré: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ shotsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ shotsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ shotsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 5+ shotsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nestory Irankunda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nishan Velupillay: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ shotsYes won
- Omar Marmoush: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 3+ shotsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trezeguet: 1+ goalsNo won
- Trezeguet: 2+ goalsNo won
- Trezeguet: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.