TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked No71c11,990$8,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.3615950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…294fbacked No70c6,055$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.7921051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes31c5,668$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.732,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed No69c5,586$3,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.313661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes4c5,430$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1158530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.9937959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No70c4,168$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.4377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No74c3,842$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.5912737%47 W · 80 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c3,041$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No70c2,374$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.1746464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f9…ef16backed Yes20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes30c1,638$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.2610537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes32c1,080$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.073920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes29c1,080$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.47636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbb…3ff7backed No71c1,074$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No71c1,057$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.534057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes2c1,052$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2442336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Yes29c1,022$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3110355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No69c986.5$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6828731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes35c979.59$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.961,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No73c926.07$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0632765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010936.7%40 W · 69 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes21c831$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5136123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes27c728.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8223240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes31c650.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf869…e2b4backed Yes33c590.7$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.932850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No67c570$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.314945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes16c552$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2451429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No80c542.08$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4236250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes31c532.26$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes25c514.18$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16012056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No70c450$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13639951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No73c440.48$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.136261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes29c431.87$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0632044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Yes32c421.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13516136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No68c412.81$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3425454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e5…9623backed No69c405.07$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5712541.6%52 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No71c402.5$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.513261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Yes31c399.1$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.726026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes30c366.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.520638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041339%161 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad81…a28abacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007025.7%18 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes30c332.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes16c319.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.65740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e2…a533backed Yes31c314.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.487553.3%40 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4e…163ebacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes29c306.9$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7201…fe41backed Yes27c303.33$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.77816.7%13 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9615177.5%117 W · 34 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1008…aa9abacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906219.4%12 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No77c275.56$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes29c268.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.842,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.515742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c233.73$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7df…47eebacked Yes30c216.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-67.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes28c214.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.087034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No70c213.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.21,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Yes27c213.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.59445.7%43 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes30c210$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312435.5%44 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c208.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.152,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Yes29c205$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4515648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5828873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44cd…bc6dbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes30c181.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yes18c175$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.57745.5%35 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes27c174$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4846230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507546.7%35 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes30c164.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d42…22a5backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Yes30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810726.2%28 W · 79 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes30c158$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.431554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes30c156.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Yes33c145.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No70c139$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed No71c136.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.79563.2%60 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Yes29c136$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4414829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.