Fifa International · resolved market
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec8aec644f93c0d42ea25859f2a4560228caf10161e8c39f7482157c88c9993
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Yes | 30c | 469.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 70c | 411.85$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb711…1a27backed Yes | 21c | 292.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…3d8abacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 79c | 250.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d42…22a5backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 16c | 190.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 19c | 165.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 80c | 151.95$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…98acbacked Yes | 7c | 146.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 17c | 124.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 124.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 21.3%17 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 78c | 97.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 82.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…b4bbbacked Yes | 20c | 76.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 73c | 63.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 79c | 33.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ assiststhis page
- Emam Ashour: 1+ goalsYes won
- Emam Ashour: 2+ goalsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Emam Ashour: 5+ shotsNo won
- Mo Touré: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mo Touré: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mo Touré: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 2+ shotsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 3+ shotsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 4+ shotsNo won
- Mohamed Salah: 5+ shotsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 1+ shotsYes won
- Nestory Irankunda: 2+ goalsNo won
- Nestory Irankunda: 2+ shotsYes won
- Nestory Irankunda: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nishan Velupillay: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ assistsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 2+ shotsYes won
- Omar Marmoush: 3+ goalsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 3+ shotsNo won
- Omar Marmoush: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tete Yengi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Trezeguet: 1+ goalsNo won
- Trezeguet: 2+ goalsNo won
- Trezeguet: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.