Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42887ab0260f2e8af4a2faaf6cf6de7512fb596a065a50655c8f013a5193eff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 5,652$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.01 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…57b1backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 69c | 2,897$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.9 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 2,234$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.94 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed Yes | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,012$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x780d…d20cbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 366.34$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…2162backed Yes | 18c | 308.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 264.94$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…420dbacked Yes | 22c | 240.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…768ebacked Yes | 31c | 209.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…c023backed Yes | 10c | 139.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 25c | 117.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 110.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…2639backed Yes | 31c | 96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 69c | 91.15$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 79.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 68c | 74.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e2…2b22backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…225fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 70c | 59.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 57.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 68c | 55.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 54.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…0f81backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf855…d955backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…6011backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Yes | 25c | 40.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 36.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…fdf6backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed No | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 70c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…ad2fbacked No | 69c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08e…047dbacked No | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…7262backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 73c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?this page
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Algeria won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.