Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4470bd317ca95ee050a7a9f3408c3760de565d265c9c49c4d232d0859a6667d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 14,402$6,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,478.22 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 52c | 10,893$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.19 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.97 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 1,899$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.58 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 707.95$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.95 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 48c | 525$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 51c | 475.9$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 48c | 361.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 48c | 355.83$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.07 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…4c02backed Over | 48c | 306.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 284.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 249.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Under | 53c | 186.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 6c | 177.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 49c | 138.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 109.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 109.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…d91bbacked Over | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…9e6fbacked Over | 48c | 104.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…cf38backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 100.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…1f25backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 47c | 94.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…8d1abacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 81.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0938…a9a8backed Over | 46c | 73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3874…30f2backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 108 | 32.4%35 W · 73 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked Under | 52c | 59.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…761bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 48c | 46.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 47c | 45.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 53c | 34.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb7…a0bcbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Over | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 65c | 23.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Over | 48c | 21.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Switzerland (-4.5)Algeria won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.