TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,747 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Under68c2,682$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.3953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over32c2,264$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c1,312$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.552,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under3c681.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.6410014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over31c543.21$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.674,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7837754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under67c430.65$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.181,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12818448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Under69c391.75$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.446637.9%25 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e8…d01cbacked Under69c352.17$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.171776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over31c336.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.182,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over32c318.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8521333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over33c294.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over31c193.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8b…4ca3backed Over32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010844.4%48 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a7…a216backed Under67c156.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.553647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…a234backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.526921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under69c118.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7236350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…6e4ebacked Under67c94.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.357475.7%56 W · 18 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over32c78.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.071,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Over31c76.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5925454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over32c73.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.491,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under68c71.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9692732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over31c66.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.741,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under68c61.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.232855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over32c50.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.952,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under68c50.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3266056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Over32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168421.4%18 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under69c45.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Over32c40.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135923.7%14 W · 45 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under69c35.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed Over31c33.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.519552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…4c05backed Over36c29.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88845.5%40 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under69c28.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9116052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Under69c28.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.915550.3%78 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.746159%36 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.