Other European Leagues · resolved market
Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05d8341bc2e1ae6675adc8c283174bef780c0a6f67575c6bb8c17719d2684076
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,192$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.56 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 1,272$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.88 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed Under | 63c | 1,048$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 701.26$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.33 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 2c | 653.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 16c | 620$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 12c | 423.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 377.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 190.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 25c | 186.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 56c | 149.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 39c | 124.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 121.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 44c | 85.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 60c | 83.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 63c | 53.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 56c | 53.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Over | 26c | 38.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…7d37backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…98b8backed Under | 66c | 27.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…d7cabacked Over | 39c | 27.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 56c | 21.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 71c | 20.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5this page
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: BK Hacken O/U 1.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: Halmstads BK O/U 1.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 0.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 1.5Over won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 2.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 4.5Under won
- Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: Halmstads BK (-2.5)BK Hacken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.