Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt to score first vs. Australia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa74c881c24f64283030a33790ee9b3d1d12bac717a3474b4a7609618f53a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 49c | 93,434$45,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,703.08 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 43,685$22,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,357.93 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 33,179$17,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,170.42 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked No | 49c | 5,101$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…21ccbacked Yes | 50c | 4,985$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.38 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 49c | 4,426$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.5 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2207…ba56backed Yes | 51c | 4,414$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.67 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 49c | 3,711$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.93 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 48c | 3,408$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.16 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 51c | 2,751$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.18 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Yes | 52c | 1,882$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.27 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 50c | 1,875$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.5 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 1,661$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.73 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 50c | 1,653$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.72 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 52c | 1,606$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 51c | 1,479$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.5 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 1,214$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…cbbcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,184$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…85bcbacked No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked No | 19c | 850$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 49c | 815.22$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.53 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked No | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 49c | 585.24$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.25 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 49c | 418.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.27 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked No | 12c | 415.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 50c | 393$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 348.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 52c | 295$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.57 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…f420backed No | 10c | 288.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 49c | 284.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 50c | 235$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 46c | 223$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 52c | 203.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…1581backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…25abbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…4969backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…6b52backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…47a0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…456cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 192.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed No | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 52c | 187.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 183.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 49c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Yes | 52c | 153.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…f125backed Yes | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 50c | 126$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 50c | 116.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b9…a41ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…ca5abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2bf6backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 21c | 91.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…c75fbacked Yes | 52c | 90.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…ba07backed Yes | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…c340backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 50c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…2280backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdffb…46f2backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 48c | 78.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked No | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…82c1backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 70.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9b0bbacked Yes | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed No | 50c | 59.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…afedbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 49c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…4aeebacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…2c65backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt to score first vs. Australia?this page
- Australia to score first vs. Egypt?No won
- Australia vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.