TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under53c8,268$4,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.3320036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over48c8,248$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over51c6,774$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.122,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under43c5,584$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1832441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over55c4,328$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3964843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,392$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under58c1,733$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.032864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c1,690$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over8c1,303$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2615625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under59c1,094$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.88657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under79c636.6$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c561.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over49c549.46$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1319135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over29c520.74$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.112,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c490.62$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.272,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c460.05$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.61,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.552365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under57c421.44$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.2222145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over48c416.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over41c318.82$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5329047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over57c298.25$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Over39c276.92$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x895d…c3ebbacked Under50c253.36$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under43c250$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.555946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under50c228$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11413850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over50c200.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4621752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccb9…4718backed Over54c190$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.654751.1%24 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under58c176.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over23c176$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c167.52$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.32,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over35c160.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9235046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over62c145.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.722646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over50c144.66$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.115939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over50c137$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c130.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5231136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Over23c93.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.383458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over34c93.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5115143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c89.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.822,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over35c81.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over34c76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…05a2backed Under46c72.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over27c71.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over26c69.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over50c66.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.25837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Over50c60.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd629…1e72backed Over39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over50c59.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.721765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over50c59.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.569852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under44c54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2410651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Under56c44.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over42c42.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0431349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Under70c42.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over54c42.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over45c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over57c41.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over55c40.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3120846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over50c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.824665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over50c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.845746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under61c38.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.081369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over49c38.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9612156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2916845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…21f7backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123450%17 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.252729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c31.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.331,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.531,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under55c30.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.564156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under47c29.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7376…7767backed Over52c28.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under43c28.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.185850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd8…e4d5backed Under63c28.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115040%20 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under78c24.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3210766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129240.2%37 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under52c23.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.286061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over56c23.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under58c19.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.111,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Under75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick73cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.