Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0127e41d5bf9c140d5aee98652e87432bb96f6449121f7507a9dbfb67c7e9d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hammarby IFof Hammarby IF, Degerfors IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Hammarby IF | 60c | 18,297$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,297 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Degerfors IF | 42c | 5,808$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Degerfors IF | 40c | 3,955$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.23 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Degerfors IF | 40c | 3,920$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.1 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Degerfors IF | 40c | 2,332$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.4 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Degerfors IF | 42c | 1,026$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.9 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Hammarby IF | 62c | 1,009$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Degerfors IF | 41c | 805.74$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.35 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Hammarby IF | 46c | 716.86$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Degerfors IF | 42c | 654.29$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Degerfors IF | 40c | 635.24$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Degerfors IF | 39c | 512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Degerfors IF | 39c | 265.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Hammarby IF | 58c | 259.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Degerfors IF | 40c | 238.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Degerfors IF | 39c | 231.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Degerfors IF | 53c | 224.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Degerfors IF | 47c | 222.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Hammarby IF | 61c | 197.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Degerfors IF | 27c | 194.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd08…1b71backed Hammarby IF | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Hammarby IF | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Degerfors IF | 40c | 153.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Degerfors IF | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hammarby IF | 56c | 139.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Degerfors IF | 40c | 104.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Hammarby IF | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Degerfors IF | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Degerfors IF | 40c | 76.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hammarby IF | 51c | 66.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…0ecfbacked Hammarby IF | 58c | 62.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Degerfors IF | 41c | 61.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Degerfors IF | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Degerfors IF | 40c | 56.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…8c49backed Hammarby IF | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Hammarby IF | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Degerfors IF | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Hammarby IF | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Degerfors IF | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbb…6cb4backed Hammarby IF | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Degerfors IF | 55c | 32.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed Degerfors IF | 41c | 31.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Hammarby IF | 60c | 29.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hammarby IF | 54c | 28.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Hammarby IF | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Hammarby IF | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)this page
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.