Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd2c06100184ecb37e7d21a2a7d614b3afe871625f8ad3bb0d4bb8e113a8f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 10,767$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.86 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 45c | 4,337$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.38 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 4,091$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.24 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 2,294$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked Under | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 53c | 999.93$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.96 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 56c | 988.93$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.8 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 532.54$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.95 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 491.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.05 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Over | 6c | 460$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 3cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 2c | 450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 426.24$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 47c | 326.81$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.21 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 258.38$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked Over | 42c | 239.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Over | 44c | 226.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Over | 43c | 225.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 206.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 190.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 60c | 171.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 43c | 148.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.83 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 43c | 147.3$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 140.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 45c | 121.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 100.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 45c | 97.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 94.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 60c | 83.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 34c | 42.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…0e24backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 33.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…483abacked Over | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 29.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…eae1backed Over | 43c | 24.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 57c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 54c | 20.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…98b8backed Under | 72c | 16.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5this page
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.