Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4611ca9fbc90f6b367ee76ad7d005c6164e7732dbbcd4d45ea966b35a8a9d14f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 47,404$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 36,655$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.6 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 12c | 5,127$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.37 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 11c | 4,384$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.7 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 12c | 2,007$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 12c | 1,311$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 12c | 908.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 12c | 868.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Over | 12c | 511.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 12c | 216$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 12c | 138.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 12c | 127.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5this page
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.