Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45c1f44e62f3abee300908fbcfa9356e4dc55f8bf8dfac5077eebb7889431e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,988$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 38c | 899.98$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.99 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 543.95$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed No | 51c | 529.11$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Yes | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 304.04$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 51c | 249.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 48c | 197.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 48c | 139.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 111.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…1aabbacked Yes | 49c | 91.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 52c | 89.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 88.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 64.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 43.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 62c | 41.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 49c | 29.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…1cc8backed Yes | 51c | 29.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 26.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Yes | 48c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.