Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x024013a8456c80c87b5e9592f7997668a62dded755ca960422c4be74af74c78d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 52c | 3,872$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 46c | 2,635$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.09 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 1,300$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.31 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 1,136$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.94 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 34c | 999.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…3d29backed Under | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 67c | 894.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Under | 35c | 849.26$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 65c | 843.26$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.14 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 31c | 782.3$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 70c | 559.8$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 54c | 499.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 460$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 430.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 65c | 240.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 37c | 219.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 211.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 49c | 207.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 206.4$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 162.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Under | 7c | 144.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 60c | 114.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 30c | 106.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 66c | 92.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 77.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 27c | 72.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 34c | 65.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 31c | 59.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 35.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 63c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 60c | 28.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf09…3bf6backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 49c | 24.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Over | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe602…9446backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…3efbbacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.