Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb49880ecc6412ed195db1cf39fff7aa71636482eb71b0085cf64f9010bdc8c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hammarby IFof Hammarby IF, Degerfors IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hammarby IF | 34c | 1,511$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Degerfors IF | 69c | 863.07$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Degerfors IF | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.98 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Hammarby IF | 31c | 491.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.56 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Hammarby IF | 32c | 223.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.48 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Degerfors IF | 68c | 220.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Degerfors IF | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Degerfors IF | 66c | 171.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Degerfors IF | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Degerfors IF | 64c | 137.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604b…8215backed Hammarby IF | 34c | 87.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…7977backed Degerfors IF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…88d2backed Degerfors IF | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Degerfors IF | 67c | 67.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hammarby IF | 31c | 63.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Hammarby IF | 32c | 59.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Hammarby IF | 37c | 51.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Degerfors IF | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Degerfors IF | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Degerfors IF | 64c | 20.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)this page
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 0.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Degerfors IF O/U 2.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: Hammarby IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Hammarby IF vs. Degerfors IF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Degerfors IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
- Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)Hammarby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.