Asian League · resolved market

Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276dbaf241d6f9acdbc1f027b26a85c8b8c3c6b027add9977fb3ea81ac5afde0

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $26,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,410 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under	1c	4,000$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,960	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.99per pick	1cpaid	+9,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under	68c	2,475$1,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.24	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under	49c	1,031$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.92	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	45c	904.01$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.19	2,424	38%920 W · 1,504 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	52c	889.43$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.68	1,028	41.7%429 W · 599 L	-31.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	36c	861.9$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.45	828	42.4%351 W · 477 L	+19.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over	33c	759.99$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.8	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	68c	627.11$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.49	1,309	56.8%743 W · 566 L	+66.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	61c	625.12$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.59	1,651	50.9%840 W · 811 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under	3c	607.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.93	263	48.7%128 W · 135 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Under	2c	600$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+141.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	37c	588.15$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Under	5c	551.31$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.95per pick	5cpaid	+1,900%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	37c	516.79$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.04	1,443	35.3%509 W · 934 L	-36.4wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over	39c	516.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Under	2c	500$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over	67c	485$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.23	215	74.4%160 W · 55 L	+45.1wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xfbff…d177backed Over	39c	475.33$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x672d…97f1backed Over	31c	458.65$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.18	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	63c	416.32$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.04	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under	6c	400$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	49c	373.5$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.43	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	36c	311$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.96	396	49.7%197 W · 199 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	11c	303.38$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.59	348	47.4%165 W · 183 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	59c	296.59$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.96	693	52.2%362 W · 331 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	63c	283.19$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.12	1,725	50.6%873 W · 852 L	+28.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under	64c	256$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.54	100	39%39 W · 61 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	38c	238.2$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.71	363	52.9%192 W · 171 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	26c	225.43$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.83	721	44.1%318 W · 403 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Over	75c	200.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	64cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	36c	199.98$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.99	539	46.9%253 W · 286 L	-14.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under	48c	193.94$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.98	218	54.1%118 W · 100 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	76c	184.21$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	334	52.7%176 W · 158 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	45c	181.9$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.26	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Under	62c	161.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.31per pick	57cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	62c	135.99$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.67	405	50.6%205 W · 200 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	61c	135.78$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.87	357	51%182 W · 175 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	37c	132.53$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.04	1,221	50.2%613 W · 608 L	+12.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	23c	129.7$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.71	928	35%325 W · 603 L	-22.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under	41c	121.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under	67c	119.4$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	50c	114.3$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.71	770	56.2%433 W · 337 L	+40.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over	36c	111.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.25	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+5.0wins	+0.17per pick	37cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f89…5619backed Under	19c	104.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	61c	99.99$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	340	50.9%173 W · 167 L	+19.3wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under	63c	99.1$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over	37c	94.59$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…8679backed Over	54c	92.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	28c	90$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.8	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	75c	86$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.24	585	42.7%250 W · 335 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under	30c	85.57$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.99	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…fcd1backed Under	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over	21c	69.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	88	36.4%32 W · 56 L	+6.8wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over	54c	65.93$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87b5…8395backed Over	76c	65.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	58c	65.7$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	216	52.3%113 W · 103 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	53c	65.37$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.84	441	52.4%231 W · 210 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	61c	65.21$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.16	1,970	54.4%1,071 W · 899 L	+32.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over	79c	63.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	74cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over	39c	56.41$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	26c	53.02$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.07	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	59c	53$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2deb…a787backed Over	38c	52.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under	59c	40.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	79c	37.97$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	116	61.2%71 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Under	64c	36.88$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.28	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over	45c	31.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6266…7986backed Under	52c	29.02$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+93.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Over	37c	28.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under	63c	23.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Under	58c	20.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under	70c	19.76$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	74c	18.46$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.66	892	45%401 W · 491 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8a…189fbacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7552…3d52backed Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	75cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5this page
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 0.5Over won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 1.5Under won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event