Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39bd74cc240a3607e89a71800af3911cd92336aec2b6ea7969d74e11fff5a012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 64c | 607.23$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 56c | 607$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.08 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 574.28$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Under | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 430.09$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 56c | 360.94$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbb…6cb4backed Under | 21c | 276.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 79c | 233$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 79c | 177.71$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 74c | 146.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 26c | 132.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 64c | 118.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 65c | 105.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 77c | 90.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…b890backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 36c | 42.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 42c | 39.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 64c | 34.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 56c | 32.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…521fbacked Over | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 75c | 23.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 63c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.