Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9468b891ce6f6df3a724aecaf3eb417f3f152a3b2c94f02ca8cd065e5658e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 34c | 1,934$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.61 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 80c | 1,354$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Over | 20c | 1,133$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 77c | 649.21$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Under | 58c | 646.12$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 29c | 173.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 165$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 160.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 19c | 159.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 138.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Over | 20c | 123.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 111$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 85.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 69c | 84.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 80c | 69.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 65c | 65.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 43c | 62.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…5c18backed Over | 19c | 62.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 31c | 54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 77c | 50.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 47.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 67c | 44.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 62c | 43.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 41c | 34.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…1df8backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 60c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 58c | 23.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Gangwon FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: Jeju SK FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.