MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bac972a7fd1f8f1588f5e68fbfeb2f1d887e44edfd5754e502093893cc28309
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Texas Rangers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 133,332$71,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,332.72 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 75,000$34,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,499.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 27,847$12,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,807.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 21,688$9,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,976.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 14,894$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 53c | 7,283$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 4,782$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 8c | 4,748$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.21 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Houston Astros | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 55c | 3,089$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.09 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 2,603$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Houston Astros | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 2,434$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.64 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 2,154$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.16 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Texas Rangers | 11c | 2,091$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c3…9cdcbacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 1,925$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 1,892$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 1,722$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 1,528$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 1,483$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Texas Rangers | 2c | 1,424$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Texas Rangers | 1c | 1,381$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 1,324$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…1d90backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,284$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 1,284$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Texas Rangers | 5c | 999.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 983.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 975$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Texas Rangers | 2c | 916.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 891.19$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.77 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Houston Astros | 74c | 802$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 595.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 591$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 549.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Texas Rangers | 3c | 537.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…93bfbacked Texas Rangers | 5c | 499.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Texas Rangers | 3c | 464.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 458.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 416.39$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 54c | 405.3$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.44 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 350.75$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.75 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ebf0backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 319.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Houston Astros | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 56c | 299.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 290.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 4c | 287.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 267.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Texas Rangers | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 263.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.27 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 65c | 254.01$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…2f02backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 218.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 213.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 184.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…6c57backed Houston Astros | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 162$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 156$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Houston Astros | 77c | 153.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 152.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 150.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 143.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 137.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 123$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 115.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 115.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Texas Rangers | 11c | 115.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 92.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Texas Rangers | 48c | 90.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Houston Astros | 54c | 88.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 81.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 76.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 76.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Houston Astros | 53c | 76.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 74.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x139c…1db1backed Houston Astros | 55c | 73.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.