TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over50c146,242$73,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,121.1246949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under50c55,555$27,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,777.51,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c33,033$15,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,811.1710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00086548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under50c23,093$11,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,546.7271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under47c11,463$5,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.4277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90016548.5%80 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c6,781$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,363.5411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under50c3,224$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6121,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c2,814$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.73,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over69c1,972$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.82,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c1,891$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.614,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78464452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73518649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under49c1,365$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.851,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60039953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58856253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c995.7$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.896,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c829.07$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.368,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over54c634.02$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.838,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under44c613.18$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.552,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…c9aebacked Under14c500$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25522448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c474.53$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under50c461.46$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.739956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under48c351.37$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6629147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Over51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.513847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8647545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under49c259$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.912,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Under51c251.76$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.43141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over64c214.17$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.18644.2%38 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015147%71 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed Over51c195.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.56633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over51c144.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8920945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2182636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c137$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.132,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over51c136.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9556435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Under56c133.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under34c129.54$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.994,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Under50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…1306backed Over51c103.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.924146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5027454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x841f…ad4bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0416251.9%84 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under50c97.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6919555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Under50c91.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.679248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c63.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.514544.8%65 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46ae…b9d9backed Under50c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.611850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over52c38.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.672,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…f897backed Over51c36.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under34c34.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8355645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over55c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.582,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Under50c33.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710252%53 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over51c32.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9367444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1530928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb15e…7c54backed Under50c29.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.773026.7%8 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x472e…f338backed Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.414247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Under50c29.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.597050%35 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b08…3f60backed Under50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba71…1209backed Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under50c23.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7128948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b2…9035backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…a78bbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1138…b8c7backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.