NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x775647c545c8688cee570313cc9e483c3a24681f6dca71dde045fdc0d8d16e98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 81,348$40,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,700.59 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 72,536$36,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,268.06 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Grizzlies | 50c | 33,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 22,814$11,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,616.45 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Grizzlies | 53c | 19,999$10,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,699.06 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Cavaliers | 47c | 12,217$5,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,469.93 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 47c | 11,413$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.8 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Grizzlies | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.95 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 9,014$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.83 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 8,674$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.79 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 62c | 8,287$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.19 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 7,849$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies | 46c | 7,446$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.3 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers | 53c | 7,276$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.49 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 7,223$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.45 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 60c | 6,780$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.87 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 5,846$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.22 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Cavaliers | 54c | 5,487$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,335$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.5 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,853$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.03 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,841$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.73 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 45c | 4,630$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.5 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,577$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.01 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,431$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.21 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 47c | 4,105$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Cavaliers | 47c | 3,786$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.88 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,563$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.8 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,471$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.53 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,413$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.5 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,300$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.99 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 2,912$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.1 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,848$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 2,711$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,677$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.63 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Cavaliers | 37c | 2,664$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.47 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 2,413$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,314$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.47 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,276$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,241$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.35 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,217$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.94 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,970$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Grizzlies | 54c | 1,872$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.47 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…238fbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,846$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Cavaliers | 48c | 1,750$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.99 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,474$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.51 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,391$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.48 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,371$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.59 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…a073backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,356$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.7 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,307$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.09 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,289$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.01 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,123$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,055$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.41 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…3296backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers | 49c | 1,009$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.66 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Cavaliers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…2a26backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cavaliers | 59c | 997.29$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.57 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 980.21$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Cavaliers | 46c | 980$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers | 46c | 960.77$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.82 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 939.54$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.37 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Grizzlies | 56c | 913.6$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.54 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 801.91$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.28 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 800.48$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.62 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Cavaliers | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 48c | 686.56$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 50c | 659.26$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 56c | 650.3$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.07 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…b4f7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 630.94$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Cavaliers | 44c | 614.54$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.98 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 588.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 50c | 587.57$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.09 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 564.39$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Cavaliers | 51c | 564.21$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 523.03$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Cavaliers | 48c | 520.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.78 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 515.73$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.08 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Cavaliers | 37c | 497.41$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.51 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 57c | 488.37$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.04 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 480.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 476.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.97 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Grizzlies | 51c | 468.44$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Grizzlies | 49c | 444.59$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 428.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 47c | 427.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 422.11$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 410.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 402$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Grizzlies | 51c | 395.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Grizzlies | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)this page
- Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.