NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc461ffc1f21223c2b737bc8a32de8525ae7465bb5eb1fc0833c4b69f9c1bbb52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies | 55c | 39,224$21,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,468.27 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Cavaliers | 45c | 20,060$9,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,033 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 46c | 10,250$4,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies | 59c | 7,072$4,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.27 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cavaliers | 37c | 3,764$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.04 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Grizzlies | 59c | 3,607$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.32 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 3,600$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 61c | 2,754$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,676$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,200$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 2,157$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.22 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies | 59c | 2,140$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 59c | 2,003$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.74 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Grizzlies | 59c | 2,000$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.17 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,996$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.34 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 1,917$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies | 59c | 1,827$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.69 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,819$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.75 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 1,800$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 44c | 1,491$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.01 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.32 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.65 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,124$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.08 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 1,100$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Cavaliers | 70c | 1,094$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.77 | 21 | 95.2%20 W · 1 L | +6.8wins | +0.32per pick | 63cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12b2…74b8backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,078$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Grizzlies | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 999.91$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Grizzlies | 21c | 670$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Grizzlies | 13c | 666$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Grizzlies | 20c | 642$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Grizzlies | 16c | 595$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…b933backed Grizzlies | 5c | 552.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 545.87$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Grizzlies | 58c | 533.22$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.48 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 503.23$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.29 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Grizzlies | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 499.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Cavaliers | 63c | 499.67$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 32c | 479.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.13 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Grizzlies | 21c | 452.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Grizzlies | 21c | 442$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Grizzlies | 58c | 409.3$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Grizzlies | 19c | 400$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Grizzlies | 14c | 391$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Grizzlies | 58c | 373.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 366.96$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.34 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Cavaliers | 65c | 365.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c700backed Grizzlies | 53c | 365.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 45c | 364.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Grizzlies | 13c | 333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Grizzlies | 13c | 333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Grizzlies | 58c | 331.28$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Grizzlies | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Grizzlies | 59c | 320.93$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Cavaliers | 49c | 309.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…73d5backed Cavaliers | 72c | 294.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cavaliers | 48c | 290.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies | 59c | 251.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Grizzlies | 59c | 249.85$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Cavaliers | 63c | 217.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Grizzlies | 31c | 213.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Cavaliers | 53c | 210.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…26bbbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 205.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Cavaliers | 30c | 189.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Grizzlies | 43c | 183.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 182.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Cavaliers | 35c | 182.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.92 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +21.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Cavaliers | 44c | 173.51$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Grizzlies | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Grizzlies | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Grizzlies | 60c | 170.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 160.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 44c | 150.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Cavaliers | 10c | 149.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.21 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 53c | 144.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 140.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Cavaliers | 44c | 139.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 126.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 43c | 117.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.37 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…fc7fbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 115.73$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grizzlies | 45c | 108.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Cavaliers | 43c | 105.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Grizzlies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Grizzlies | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Cavaliers | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cavaliers | 49c | 97.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Grizzlies | 59c | 84.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 84.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Grizzlies | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)this page
- Cavaliers vs. GrizzliesCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- GG Jackson II: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Max Strus: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.