TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$408,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$406,569

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,388 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50b1…f076backed Yes41c354,465$143,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,897.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No58c89,793$52,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,713.163145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No61c76,130$46,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,972.1623858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No60c51,591$30,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,794.9477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c50,260$30,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,176.523,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed Yes39c20,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No59c15,166$8,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,236.222065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c15,156$9,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,935.1697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c10,500$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,340.1426345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No60c8,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1708845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c6,927$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.479268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No58c5,026$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08613948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No60c4,499$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.248563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6402360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c3,318$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.1247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00013347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c1,610$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.0772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No61c1,598$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.225056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No61c1,476$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.274369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes40c1,426$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.336841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes38c1,319$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No61c1,230$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.519151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c1,222$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No60c1,213$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.9810655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No59c1,100$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.52259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No61c1,029$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.382965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No58c1,014$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No59c1,000$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes42c972.12$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2915458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes42c972.12$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2912254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c847.99$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes40c674.38$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.699250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No60c634.73$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.772450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Yes40c630.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2346155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes40c527.59$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.536752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No63c435.5$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5615144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c423.17$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7353046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.741275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes29c360$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.295232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No60c359$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes37c355.75$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.437334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No70c355.13$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4321545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No60c289$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.610255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c286.59$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9580358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes41c283.49$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9826346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes36c275$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No59c274.35$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No61c253.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.499458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No61c247.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.116056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No60c232.2$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.084753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes42c218.35$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No60c213.67$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.471442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed No60c205.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No60c203.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.727542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes40c187.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.926454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes38c187.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.221668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No64c185$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c178.14$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes36c150.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No65c141.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5242947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Yes41c137.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No61c137.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5510755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked No65c135.38$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.381154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes21c128.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes35c125$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.751216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes13c118.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes34c118.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No63c116.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.546358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No60c113.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.671,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4437138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No60c107.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.191090%9 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+79.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No60c105.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.262955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No64c101.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No64c99.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.873863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No64c99.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.873565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No64c99.85$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.874447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked No61c96.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No65c96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.082347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Yes35c95.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes11c93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2355750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No61c91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.081,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.289245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No65c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.84959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Yes37c83.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes39c82.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed No62c79.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No60c71.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4812849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No65c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No63c69.29$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.963470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe129…fef1backed Yes36c66.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242540%10 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No66c65.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6124859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes38c63.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3224920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes35c62.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.811752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.