Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb409e7ef04381c12b226d23f67ec8a448b04c09c1c11daa32b9510588940c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50b1…f076backed No | 68c | 267,185$181,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,457.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 67,614$21,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,194.8 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 33c | 53,140$17,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,641.45 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 32c | 47,552$15,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,241.63 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 65c | 30,907$20,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,089.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 22,734$7,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,185.57 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 13,007$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 12,124$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,232.12 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 32c | 12,000$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,120 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 7,819$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.43 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 32c | 7,225$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.66 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.15 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 31c | 4,761$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.66 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 32c | 3,130$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 32c | 3,048$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.63 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 35c | 2,787$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.45 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 34c | 2,397$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.47 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,344$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.75 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,274$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.05 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,757$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 32c | 1,545$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.11 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,545$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.92 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,481$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.89 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 35c | 1,434$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 32c | 1,397$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.31 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 1,387$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.51 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 33c | 1,294$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.97 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 32c | 1,259$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 32c | 1,229$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 1,176$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.87 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,052$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 1,029$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.25 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 30c | 990.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 31c | 897$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 5c | 827.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.45 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 32c | 700$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 73c | 675.08$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.57 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 33c | 608.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 28c | 571.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.49 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 509.52$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.68 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 73c | 502.32$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 460.65$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 455.14$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.79 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 31c | 408$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.14 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 402.48$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.74 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 355.75$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 79c | 325.86$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 32c | 310.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.62 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 32c | 309.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 33c | 303.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.81 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 32c | 298.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 32c | 296$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 33c | 261.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.19 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 79c | 253.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes | 33c | 228.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 31c | 224.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 29c | 221$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 211.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 34c | 191.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 23c | 189.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 35c | 185.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 31c | 176$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 32c | 161.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 31c | 161.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 160.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Yes | 33c | 157.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 149$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 76c | 142.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 76c | 138.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.97 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Yes | 31c | 137.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Yes | 32c | 131.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 34c | 130.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 33c | 128.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 79c | 126.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed No | 70c | 125.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 120.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 32c | 109.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 36c | 102.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 94.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 16c | 94.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 35c | 92.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked No | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…178dbacked Yes | 31c | 84.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…433bbacked Yes | 29c | 79.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 45c | 78.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Yes | 33c | 76.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Yes | 32c | 74.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…e007backed No | 68c | 73.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…07bebacked Yes | 28c | 71.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 32c | 70.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.