Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e2bdc329b3ea235b7fcb4dc73079a80ea20972b3e05650b06e337bdc787191
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 13,084$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.7 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 80c | 11,630$9,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 7,799$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.13 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 80c | 5,093$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 20c | 4,228$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.63 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 20c | 4,228$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.63 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 80c | 3,196$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.16 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 20c | 3,099$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.88 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 21c | 2,472$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…8297backed No | 80c | 2,223$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 2,108$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.89 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 80c | 1,907$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,156$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 990.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked No | 80c | 988$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 799.97$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 80c | 753.35$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 600$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 80c | 539.97$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 516.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.29 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 6c | 508.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 8c | 484.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Yes | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 20c | 362.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 234.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 13c | 218.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 79c | 208.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 79c | 205.29$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 21c | 195.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 13c | 142.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…bb56backed Yes | 20c | 142.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…3d18backed Yes | 20c | 138.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 20c | 136.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 14c | 135.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 80c | 133.24$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 21c | 131.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 21c | 125.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 14c | 120.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…90cfbacked Yes | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 21c | 99.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 12c | 95.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 13c | 94.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 80c | 91.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 89.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 13c | 79.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 19c | 69.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 49.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 78c | 38.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 19.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…5f13backed No | 80c | 17.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.