Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5136144933e5d6f00dbb864adb6c7b5c9ad1aa356634fa21e6c0f2fb619df91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 13c | 3,815$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,143$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 13c | 2,469$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.93 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 2c | 2,061$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 2,038$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.91 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 12c | 1,950$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.06 | 711 | 50.1%356 W · 355 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 11c | 1,714$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 1,403$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.77 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…fd60backed Yes | 13c | 1,349$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 12c | 872.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +206%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 14c | 733.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 10c | 662.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 2c | 545.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 14c | 339.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 13c | 255.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f86…3d18backed Yes | 13c | 225.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 182.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 14c | 169.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 12c | 148.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 142.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Yes | 13c | 135.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 13c | 106.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…610dbacked Yes | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Yes | 12c | 100.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 30cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 13c | 79.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.