Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43d20113c995d4f7dd538c03a0e0d674bc6badfce9e7dc2b0b02deab48b3b382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 74c | 5,420$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.2 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 4,247$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.03 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 80c | 1,527$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,428$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,009$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.45 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 63c | 829.64$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7c…746dbacked Yes | 11c | 326.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 26c | 244.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 237.95$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 26c | 205.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 26c | 205.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 51c | 190.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 133.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 91.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 87.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…58bdbacked Yes | 26c | 85.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 30c | 77.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 29c | 63.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 59.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 59.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Yes | 28c | 52.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 47.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 28c | 45.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Yes | 30c | 41.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…2c8cbacked Yes | 31c | 40.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked Yes | 49c | 39.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 75c | 36.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 26.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 22.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.