TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,513 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes26c22,522$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,768.155135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No75c16,677$12,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes25c14,140$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5355639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c9,719$6,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,950.8284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed Yes24c7,221$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No75c6,931$5,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.774544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c6,841$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.471,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c5,892$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.71478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c5,718$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…4af1backed No76c4,949$3,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No76c4,066$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes25c3,001$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.252552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No75c2,666$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.51190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes25c2,661$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.31020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.995545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c2,234$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.013,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No74c2,193$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.081952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes1c2,054$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44258%2 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No74c1,788$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.887354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes41c1,583$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c1,421$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.212,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No63c1,344$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.282138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes26c1,284$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No74c1,275$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.55356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes25c1,203$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Yes26c1,164$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Yes26c948.92$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes28c772.62$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12516242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c470$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.210554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes26c443.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c423.11$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5525157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Yes26c404.15$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes37c401.05$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.956142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Yes26c348.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No63c332.05$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8615376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c316.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked No68c291.58$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.381573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes24c282.48$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c259.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes24c255.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628117.3%14 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes18c239.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No71c230.45$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Yes26c220.23$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No76c199.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Yes26c198.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Yes26c195.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7c…0df6backed No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c192.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.522,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes22c184.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.321752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No75c182.49$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.621973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Yes26c177.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No69c166.94$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.93956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No76c156.16$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1745135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes16c143.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked Yes26c142.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1315…cb3fbacked Yes26c142.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No74c125$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.58551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c120$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked Yes26c118.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes19c112$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f7…a146backed Yes26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No74c109$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.345853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9908…3e8bbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes25c103.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.788355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No77c103$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0710544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…00c2backed Yes20c101.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No76c100.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1410055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed Yes26c100.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245676.8%43 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No74c99.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32aa…0c01backed Yes33c98.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.931833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes18c95.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2411443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Yes18c92.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.691957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88bc…fc0dbacked Yes26c92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes25c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.537750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes24c88.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.514233.1%47 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.