TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,884 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No79c27,431$21,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.2796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes18c20,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.975236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes19c7,378$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.083815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes20c6,578$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.021346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes20c6,573$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.5341144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c5,219$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.8430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes25c4,510$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.3832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No79c4,078$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.463852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No80c3,952$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c3,502$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.341,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No79c3,423$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.7622551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No73c3,268$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.4422373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes22c3,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c2,447$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.3316032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes21c2,268$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.32240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe673…b3d9backed Yes10c2,157$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes31c2,013$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.051225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes20c1,860$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.944546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes33c1,405$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.4329862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c1,394$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes17c1,389$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.153129%9 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+275.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Yes21c1,361$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No80c1,048$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.521872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked Yes23c984.23$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes19c951.4$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.776442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa025…1607backed Yes20c922.58$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.521643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804231%13 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c865.79$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c659.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9915844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes21c547.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.032777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes20c542.21$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.444146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a91…c1f2backed Yes26c532.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes27c525.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5217744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes21c502.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.57520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes19c500.74$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.143345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.21618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa903…bcd2backed Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes23c443.66$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.047750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c399.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No79c399.94$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9915844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes18c364.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.613435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No74c350$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9114347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No73c331.79$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.66132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed No78c233.42$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.38955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c199.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes8c197.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5518125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f73…667dbacked No73c188.69$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes19c162.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.784524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x036c…e838backed Yes21c155.78$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No70c148$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9123345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb36c…0e2fbacked Yes21c136.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes22c129.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.62254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c127.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No75c117.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9231958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Yes29c116.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.351154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes14c104$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.228644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes21c99.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.965427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes21c99.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.811050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes12c98.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.799124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…4616backed Yes25c95.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes21c95.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c80.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3211053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes21c75.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes20c73.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7632150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No79c71.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0724238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Yes21c68.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fb…587ebacked Yes24c67.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8766…0ef8backed Yes19c66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2547…8a63backed Yes22c64.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2e…88f5backed Yes31c61.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8b…9ac5backed Yes26c55.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-72.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Yes27c52.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes21c49.9$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4820741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb161…9132backed Yes31c47.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No80c47.42$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.484566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…68ecbacked No80c43.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.652166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No70c35.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.522462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No77c33.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.617163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No77c33.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.615170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No78c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.963759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No80c29.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.936560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db3…547dbacked No67c28.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No70c28.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.421776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed No70c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1c…197dbacked No70c27.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.371258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No78c25.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.571464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No68c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.