La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x384b51ae4782517a902e116174bdf518d6418215594b358dc38f5375fc206a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 0c | 44,342$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 22c | 4,013$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,748$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 25c | 1,255$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.51 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,218$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.02 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 24c | 1,123$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.51 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 724.63$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Yes | 29c | 706.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 671.07$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.06 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 567.43$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.46 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 479.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 78c | 383.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 278.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 75c | 202.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 24c | 194.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 79c | 189.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 184.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 184.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 21c | 147$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed Yes | 26c | 140.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 137.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 78c | 134.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 133.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 112.47$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 75c | 94.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Yes | 22c | 85.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed No | 75c | 77.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 25c | 76.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 69.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Yes | 22c | 67.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 51.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…4867backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 25c | 48.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 26c | 48.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 80c | 46.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed No | 79c | 28.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 79c | 15.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 76c | 13.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-02?Yes won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.